Trafalgar Group

05/27/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Governor and US Senate Primary Poll (05/21-05/24)

SC GOP Gov:
19.9% Pamela Evette
19.4% Alan Wilson
19.0% Rom Reddy
15.9% Ralph Norman for Governor
14.6% Nancy Mace
3.2% Jacqueline Dubose
2.3% Josh Kimbrell
5.6% Und

SC GOP US Senate:
52.0% Lindsey Graham
28.3% Mark Lynch
4.4% Darius Mitchell
2.8% Pat Herrmann
2.5% Thomas Dismukes
2.3% Calvin Cowen
7.7% Und

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gop-primary-0526/

05/17/2026

Our Chief Pollster, Robert Cahaly had a few words he wanted to say. “I know there are a lot of people very excited about what happened in Louisiana tonight. I count myself among them.

But there’s an unsung hero that made it possible. I just can’t let tonight come and go without pointing her out. When Julie Emerson was a state representative and the chairman of the Ways and Means committee two years ago, she crafted and passed the election reform bill that would finally create party primaries for Louisiana’s federal races instead of their jungle primary system that often protects liberal Republicans like Bill Cassidy.

Anyone who studies Louisiana knows that if Cassidy would’ve had the chance to run in a jungle primary, he would have likely increased his chances.

Even though Julie has left the legislature and is now serving as Governor Landry’s chief of staff, I hope you agree that she deserves a gigantic pat on the back and thank you.”

05/07/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group 2026 SC Governor Primary Poll (05/02-05/05)

SC Gov:
25.2% Pamela Evette
23.1% Alan Wilson
19.6% Ralph Norman
15.2% Nancy Mace
10.1% Rom Reddy
4.2% Josh Kimbrell
2.7% Jacqueline Dubose

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gop-gov-0507/

03/05/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group March 2026 Donald J. Trump and Operation Epic Fury Approval Poll (03/01-03/03)

President Trump Approval:

49.5% Approve
48.0% Disapprove
2.4% No Opinion

Operation Epic Fury Approval:

53.9% Approve
40.6% Disapprove
5.6% No Opinion

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/trump-approval-0304/

02/26/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group February 2026 Donald J. Trump Approval Poll (02/24-02/25) *survey conducted completely after STATE OF UNION

50.8% Approve
47.6% Disapprove
1.6% No Opinion

See full report: thetrafalgargroup.org/news/trump-app…

01/21/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group 2026 SC Governor Poll (01/15-1/20)

21.9% Pamela Evette
20.1% Alan Wilson
17.3% Nancy Mace
9.8% Ralph Norman
1.9% Josh Kimbrell
29.0% Und

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gov-gop-0121/

12/30/2025

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group Nationwide Donald J. Trump Approval Poll (12/26-12/27)

50.2% Approve
44.6% Disapprove

See full report: thetrafalgargroup.org/news/trump-app…

12/05/2025

Our chief pollster, Robert Cahaly’s comments on Ingraham Angle about TN-7 Margin Shows Republican Message Isn't Reaching Beyond Conservative Media
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2025/12/03/robert_cahaly_tn-7_margin_shows_republican_message_isnt_reaching_beyond_conservative_media.htmlbr

Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly said the nine-point margin of victory for Republican Matt Van Epps in last night's special election for Tennessee's seventh congressional district, where Trump won by 22 points last year, is a warning sign that the MAGA message is not getting out. "The Re...

11/06/2025

Matt Towery and our chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, made the point last night on Hannity: The “Shutdown” had a tremendous impact on these elections.

When you have a country with so many people depending on a government check for their income, aid, or other entitlement, the party perceived to be in power will pay the price at the ballot box for a shutdown that either delays or threatens to delay those checks.

Average voters don't understand what a filibuster is. At best, they believe that the Republicans who control the House, Senate, and the presidency are responsible for the shutdown. At worst, they just know the president is a Republican and therefore the Republicans are to blame for the shutdown.

President was right when he said Republicans should have changed the Senate rules and opened the government before the election. Undoubtedly he saw this coming.

Pollsters Matt Towery and Robert Cahaly give their thoughts on Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani’s win in the New York City mayoral election on ‘Hannity.’

11/04/2025

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group VA Statewide Election Polls (11/01-11/02)

VA Gov:
49.8% Abigail Spanberger
43.3% Winsome Earle-Sears
1.0% Donna Charles
5.9% Und

VA Lt. Gov:
47.5% Ghazala Hashmi
45.9% John Reid
6.6% Und

VA AG
46.3% Jason Miyares
45.5% Jay Jones
8.2% Und

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/va-statewide-poll-1103/

11/02/2025

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group Texas US House District 23 Primary Poll (10/31-11/01)

40.4% Tony Gonzales
35.2% Brandon Herrera
24.4% Und

See full report: thetrafalgargroup.org/news/tx23-gop-…