Trafalgar Group

Trafalgar Group From Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling

08/27/2026

Thank you to Sean Hannity for the shout out about our Trafalgar Group SC US Senate special election runoff poll.

While all the speculation was that this race wasn’t going to be close. We knew the lead had changed hands a few times, projecting that the result would come down to Election Day turn out.

BREAKING: Final Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election Runoff for US Senate Tracking Poll (8/22-24) 1031 Responden...
08/25/2026

BREAKING: Final Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election Runoff for US Senate Tracking Poll (8/22-24)

1031 Respondents
2.9 MOE

47.9% Darline Graham
47.8% Ralph Norman
4.4% Und

BREAKING: Final Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election for US Senate Tracking Poll (8/8-10) 1027 Respondents 2.9 M...
08/11/2026

BREAKING: Final Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election for US Senate Tracking Poll (8/8-10)

1027 Respondents
2.9 MOE

26.4% Darline Graham
19.5% Ralph Norman
18.4% Russel Fry
18.3% Mark Sanford
7.5% Mark Lynch
1.5% Danny Ford II
1.1% Duke Buckner
0.8% Glenda Gail Parker
0.5%Mark McBride
5.4% Und

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election for US Senate Tracking Poll (7/28-7/30) 989 Respondents 2.9 MOE 2...
07/31/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Special Election for US Senate Tracking Poll (7/28-7/30)

989 Respondents
2.9 MOE

27.0% Darline Graham
17.4% Russell Fry
17.4% Ralph Norman
15.1% Mark Sanford
8.1% Mark Lynch
1.1% Samuel Sam Shepherd
0.9% Duke Buckner
0.4% Mark McBride
0.3% Clark Nielson
12.4% Und

07/31/2026

COMING TOMORROW:

New Trafalgar Group SC US Senate Special Primary Poll

Don’t be fooled by agenda driven polls from companies you’ve never heard of.

We’ll have the real numbers.

As you are probably aware, no-one knows South Carolina politics for the last 4 decades like our chief pollster, Robert Cahaly does and no-one polls it better than Trafalgar!

Be the first to know the top five who will make Monday’s debate are!

Stay tuned!

Check out our chief pollster Robert Cahaly’s recently published op-ed in the Townhall on the recent survey by Trafalgar ...
07/21/2026

Check out our chief pollster Robert Cahaly’s recently published op-ed in the Townhall on the recent survey by Trafalgar Group that demonstrated that voters are aligned on reforming Section 1033 of the Dodd-Frank Act to strengthen consumer financial security standards.

Polling conducted on behalf of the Common Sense Leadership Fund. (04/21-04/25)
MoE: 2.9%

Press release:

Trump voters demand stronger financial data safeguards and reform of Section 1033 data-sharing rules.

BREAKING: Recent survey by The Trafalgar Group demonstrates voters are aligned on reforming Section 1033 of the Dodd-Fra...
06/24/2026

BREAKING: Recent survey by The Trafalgar Group demonstrates voters are aligned on reforming Section 1033 of the Dodd-Frank Act to strengthen consumer financial security standards.

Polling conducted on behalf of the Common Sense Leadership Fund. (04/21-04/25)
MoE: 2.9%

Press release: https://dataexposure.cslf.us/new-trafalgar-poll-voters-want-stronger-financial-data-safeguards/

100 percent of respondents who strongly approve of President Trump support requiring any company that accesses financial data to meet the same security standards as banks. 89.4 percent of all respondents agreed.

Overall, 85.6 percent of respondents said companies that access or use financial data should help fund the ecosystem needed to keep that data safe.

Overall, 78.2 percent of respondents favored rules preventing companies from having unlimited access to financial information without explicit and revocable consumer consent.

The poll also found broad concern with the Biden-era approach to Section 1033 when respondents were told it allowed data middlemen to follow weaker privacy and security standards than banks. Among respondents who strongly approve of President Trump, 99.4 percent said they were concerned. Across the full electorate, 62.9 percent said they were very concerned or concerned, and 73.9 percent were at least somewhat concerned.

For full poll report:https://dataexposure.cslf.us/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Trafalgar-Survey-June-2026.pdf

06/10/2026

Our Trafalgar Group SC GOP Primary Polling Results Recap

In the Governor’s race, we picked the top two and what order correctly.

We predicted that Pamela Evette would lead Alan Wilson by 1.7% and Evette actually beat Wilson by 2.6%.

We were only off by .9%

In the AG’s race, we picked the top two and what order correctly.

We predicted that Stephen Goldfinch would lead David Stumbo by 4.9% and Goldfinch actually beat Stumbo by 4.3%.

We were only off by .6%.

The only race we were outside our margin of error was the US Senate race. Considering that our other polls were so spot on, the only explanation we find is that 30% of the undecideds didn’t vote. Then the other 70% voted for Lindsey Graham. Sen. Graham proved to be quite a closer.

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP Primary 2026 Governor, US Senate, and Attorney General Final Poll (06/05-06/07) 1200 Re...
06/09/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP Primary 2026 Governor, US Senate, and Attorney General Final Poll (06/05-06/07)

1200 Respondents
2.9 MOE

SC GOP Gov:
22.4% Pamela Evette
20.7% Alan Wilson
17.5% Rom Reddy
15.9% Ralph Norman
13.9% Nancy Mace
0.6% Josh Kimbrell
0.5% Jacqueline Dubose
8.3% Und

SC GOP Senate:
49.2% Lindsey Graham
29.4% Mark Lynch
3.9% Thomas Dismukes
2.8% Pat Herrmann
2.7% Darius Mitchell
1.0% Calvin Cowen
11.0% Und

SC GOP AG:
28.5% Stephen Goldfinch
23.6% David Stumbo
15.2% David M. Pascoe
32.7% Und

See full report: https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/sc-gop-primary-0608/

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Governor Primary Tracking Poll (06/02-06/04) 982 Respondents 2.9 MOE SC GOP Gov: 2...
06/05/2026

BREAKING: Trafalgar Group SC GOP 2026 Governor Primary Tracking Poll (06/02-06/04)

982 Respondents
2.9 MOE

SC GOP Gov:
23.5% Pamela Evette
18.5% Alan Wilson
17.9% Rom Reddy
14.6% Ralph Norman
12.7% Nancy Mace
0.9% Jacqueline Dubose
0.8% Josh Kimbrell
11.1% Und

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