18/09/2026
THE GAME REALITY
The drumbeat is steadily becoming louder, even as the rhythm grows increasingly incoherent with each passing day. The incurable permutations have begun in earnest, as political parties array themselves against the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) ahead of the 2027 general elections—elections that will usher in a new phase of political leadership and determine who will pioneer the affairs of the nation.
We are certainly in for interesting times as we watch politicians strategise, realign and attempt to defeat an incumbent president who will be on the ballot.
It is worth remembering that many of the same political actors who sought to defeat President Bola Ahmed Tinubu in the 2023 presidential election are once again preparing for another contest. In 2023, Tinubu emerged victorious over Atiku Abubakar of the PDP and Peter Obi of the Labour Party, despite the fact that the combined votes of the two opposition candidates exceeded the APC candidate’s total.
Here we are again: the same actors, perhaps even more determined and more politically aggrieved, are preparing to challenge an incumbent who has been around the political terrain long enough to understand how the game is played.
There is also a broader political argument about the informal North-South rotation of presidential power. Supporters of this arrangement argue that an eight-year tenure for one region followed by eight years for the other helps sustain a sense of inclusion and confidence in the Nigerian project.
From this perspective, the possibility of another southern presidency immediately after President Tinubu raises questions about how the principle of rotation would be interpreted. Conversely, the emergence of a northern candidate could be viewed by proponents of the rotation principle as a return to the established sequence.
These competing interests make the 2027 contest far more complex than a simple contest between political parties. It is a contest involving personalities, regional calculations, alliances, history, incumbency, voter sentiment and the future direction of the country.
The permutations will continue. Alliances will continue to emerge. Political actors will continue to reposition themselves. Social media will continue to amplify every rumour, calculation and counter-calculation.
But ultimately, it is the Nigerian voter who will decide.
The game has begun. The permutations are everywhere. The real contest is only beginning.