18/08/2026
In 2002 the average paid search click cost $0.31.
Some operators bought every one they could get. The rest waited to see if it stuck.
The US legal median is now $9.87. Nothing about that market changed except how many people got into it.
We are standing in the same room again, and almost nobody has looked up.
Right now AI assistants are deciding which brands get named when a buyer asks for a recommendation. Semrush tracked 1,094 US categories across ChatGPT this year. Only 15.2% had a clear brand owner.
So, 84.8% of shelves are still empty. Your category leaders are not winning this.
Most are simply absent from it.
Here is the part that stings if you were about to brief your web team.
You cannot optimise your way in.
Ahrefs ran a controlled test on 1,885 pages that added schema markup. No citation lift. In a separate study, 97% of llms.txt files received zero requests in a month. Google’s own documentation says you need neither.
This is not a website problem. It is a reputation problem.
Engines do not weigh what you say about yourself. They weigh what everyone else says about you. Across 75,000 brands, branded mentions on other people’s sites correlated with AI citation at 0.664. Backlinks managed 0.218.
And not all coverage counts. Original editorial made 81% of news citations. Syndicated press releases made 0.32%. Wire spam does nothing. Being worth writing about does everything.
Then it compounds.
Coverage earns the mentions.
Mentions earn the citations.
Seer Interactive found cited brands holding 2.36% click-through while uncited brands sat at 0.94% and fell 67% in a year.
That same authority lifts what you rank for in classic search. And paid stops having to introduce you, because the market already knows the name.
One earned asset. Every channel downstream of it gets cheaper.
That is what we build at SugarNova. Not three retainers. One loop.
The window is open for exactly the reason it was open in 2002. Not because the technology is new, but because almost nobody is standing in it yet.
That is temporary. It is also the only part of this you cannot buy back later.