07/25/2025
Latest US Economic Indicator summary:
June 2025 Summary:
• In May 2025 U.S. Consumer Confidence seems to be gaining strength, but is still down by -3.3 points vs same time in 2024
• Gross Domestic Product declined -0.3% in Q1 of 2025, the first decline since COVID-19
• Consumer Price Index grew +2.4% vs YA, and +0.1% vs April 2025, with West region being the biggest growth driver
• Wholesale prices are up +2.6% in May 2025 vs YA and slight growth of +0.1% vs April 2025
• Restaurants continue to have higher share than Retail Food through April 2025 mainly driven by inflation, while several restaurant chains have released data stating their revenue went down
• Credit Card Debt has been in decline for the past 4 consecutive months
• House prices decreased by -0.5% vs Q4 2024 and by -2.3% vs YA, with this decline primarily being driven by the West
o Existing Single-Family Home Sales decreased in April vs March 2024, as well as vs prior month
• After trending down the last few months, the Mortgage Rate slightly rose
• Total Market sales grew by 2.1%, driven primarily by Non-Promo Price
• Private Brand Sales continue to outpace National Brand growth, up +4.7% vs YA
o National Brands saw growth of +1.5% in Dollar Sales while Units remained flat
o The price gap between Private Brand vs National Brand continues to be the smallest in the last 4 years