Centre for Risk Analysis

29/05/2026

⚠️ The US-Iran conflict is a direct threat to South Africa's fuel supply, energy costs, and economic stability.

As Gulf tensions escalate, SA businesses can't afford to be caught off guard.

The CRA is offering exclusive executive briefings unpacking:

🔹 How the conflict is disrupting global oil markets

🔹 What this means for SA fuel prices, load-shedding & supply chains

🔹 How to scenario-plan and reduce your business's exposure

Available for strategy sessions, board discussions, breakaways & conferences.

Is your business prepared? Contact Chris Hattingh: [email protected]

28/05/2026

The City of Johannesburg's own figures show it loses 44.7% of the water it produces and 27% of the electricity it distributes. Fixing the latter alone would generate R3.5 billion without a tariff increase. That number is in the budget document itself.

The CRA's Chris Hattingh sits down to unpack the budget of SA's economic heart in the latest CRA update:

CRA Executive Chris Hattingh unpacks the City of Johannesburg's lat...

28/05/2026

Between now and 4 November – the country’s next local government elections – South Africa will produce the answer. The base case remains a managed process: Parliament works through the committee stage, the coalition holds, and investors treat the episode as a political distraction rather than a structural break, writes CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh.

CRA clients get exclusive analysis on SA's investment environment in our latest briefings.

Contact Chris Hattingh to arrange a briefing: [email protected]

28/05/2026

South Africa’s vital signs are in. Is your business ready for what they reveal?

Most leadership teams are making 2026 decisions based on outdated assumptions. The CRA’s Pulse of the Nation briefing gives your executive team the unfiltered picture:

🔴 The real state of the economy — beyond the headlines

⚠️ The 3 critical risks your business must navigate this year

🗳️ Local Government Elections - who wins, and what it means for your sector

This isn’t a report you read. It’s a live, tailored briefing delivered directly to your leadership team - with scenario planning built in.

Limited dates available for Q2 2026.

👉 Book your session: [email protected]

27/05/2026

How safe is South Africa, and who is keeping it that way?

The CRA has released its latest Survey chapter on crime, social stability, and the justice system. It covers annual and quarterly crime trends, corruption and fraud, the cost of violence, policing and private security, and correctional services and national defence.

If you operate a business in South Africa, this is the data overview you need. Contact Chris Hattingh at [email protected] to arrange a briefing.

27/05/2026

South Africa has not demonstrated the sustained political will and institutional capacity to make the ideological and policy changes that will upend vested criminal interests, and empower South African communities and citizens to better work with the police at various levels, to the strengthening of both and to the cost of criminals, writes CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh.

CRA clients get exclusive analysis on SA's crime and security in our latest briefings. Contact Chris Hattingh to arrange a briefing: [email protected]

27/05/2026

There are strategic utility and value in development and humanitarian assistance as an instrument of geopolitical influence, and South Africa is losing ground on the continent, writes CRA Research Associate Ofentse Davhie.

CRA clients get exclusive analysis on SA's international relations in our latest briefings. Contact Ofentse Davhie to arrange a briefing: [email protected]

27/05/2026

⚖️ The Constitutional Court has ruled. Parliament must now constitute an impeachment committee.

South Africa's political risk calculus has shifted, and the consequences extend well beyond Pretoria.

The CRA unpacks what this means:

🔹 The ANC's impossible trilemma: impeach, protect, or do nothing 🔹 South African assets decoupling from emerging market peers 🔹 The risk: prolonged executive distraction at the worst possible moment

Is your organisation across the implications?

Contact Chris Hattingh: [email protected]

26/05/2026

The R1.8 trillion sitting in corporate reserves is not a sign of greed or lack of patriotism. It is rational capital allocation under conditions of high political risk, policy uncertainty, and inadequate returns. Businesses hold cash when deploying it looks more dangerous than sitting on it. The President’s newsletter acknowledges the problem, but does not confront its causes, writes CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh.

CRA clients get exclusive analysis on SA's investment environment in our latest briefings.

Contact Chris Hattingh to arrange a briefing: [email protected]

25/05/2026

In this week's Risk Alert, the CRA details April CPI rising to 4% and the expected SARB repo rate hike, global bond yields reaching multi-year and record highs, cyberattacks exposing weaknesses in South Africa’s state cyber capacity, and Eskom’s warning to Joburg over R6.8 billion in unpaid debt.

For briefings, contact Chris Hattingh: [email protected]